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Hedge Betting Calculator

Have a bet already running? Enter its stake and odds plus the current opposite-side odds. We size the hedge so your profit is the same whichever way it lands.

Hedge

Result
Hedge stake187.5Total outlay 287.5
Guaranteed profit
+12.5
If original wins
+12.5
If hedge wins
+12.5
ROI
+4.35%
For information only. Odds and stakes are yours to verify — bet responsibly and within your limits.

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Hedging means placing a bet on the opposite side of a position you already hold, so you lock in a result instead of leaving it to chance. This calculator takes your original stake and odds plus the current opposite-side odds, then sizes the hedge so your profit is the same whichever outcome occurs.

How hedging works

When you have an open bet — say a futures ticket or a bet whose price has since moved in your favour — you can bet the other side to guarantee an outcome. The hedge stake is sized so that both outcomes leave you with the same profit.

The formula for the hedge stake is (original stake × original odds) ÷ hedge odds. That makes your return identical whether the original bet or the hedge wins, turning a variable position into a fixed one.

Hedging trades upside for certainty: you give up the chance of the full original win in exchange for a guaranteed, smaller profit (or a capped loss). Note the calculator ignores exchange commission — apply a (1 − commission) factor if you are hedging on Betfair or similar.

Worked example

You hold a $100 bet at decimal odds of 3.00, and the opposite side is now available at 1.60.

Hedge stake = ($100 × 3.00) ÷ 1.60 = $187.50. Your total outlay is $287.50.

If the original wins: $100 × 3.00 − $287.50 = $12.50 profit. If the hedge wins: $187.50 × 1.60 − $287.50 = $12.50 profit. Either way you lock in $12.50, a guaranteed 4.3% return.

Frequently asked questions

When should I hedge a bet?
Hedge when you value certainty over expected value — for example to guarantee a profit on a futures bet that has come good, or to cap a loss. If you are confident in your edge and can absorb the variance, letting it ride is often higher EV.
Does hedging guarantee a profit?
Only if the opposite-side odds are favourable enough. When your original bet has moved sharply in your favour, a hedge can lock in profit on every outcome. If prices have not moved enough, hedging may instead just cap a loss.
Does the calculator account for exchange commission?
No — it uses raw odds. If you hedge on a betting exchange that charges commission on winnings, multiply the winning side by (1 − commission rate) to get exact figures.

Looking for guaranteed profit across books from the start? Use the arbitrage calculator.

Want a double-win window rather than a flat locked profit? See the middle bet calculator.

Deciding how much to stake in the first place? Size it with the Kelly criterion calculator.

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